Betting On Baseball Games
1 - 10 Baseball Betting Tips 11 - 20 Baseball Betting Tips
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National Championship betting: Money line (ML) The money line simply asks for which team will win the game and includes the possibility of overtime. Favored Alabama has an implied win probability. You can bet $25 on the Browns before the game and save $25 to bet on them in game if a certain opportunity arises. What you might be waiting for is the Jets to score first. If the Jets get the ball first and put points on the board, you’re going to be able to get an awesome adjusted spread on the Browns (something like even/pick em) or a much. Betting MLB guide for recreational baseball bettor based on games played over 2016 and 2017 season including runs, hits and errors stats. Make your bet a home run!
Below you will find the first half of 20 Baseball Betting Tips to help you make money this baseball season. But first, be sure to sign up for the Free Baseball Betting Guide to the right. By following the simple step-by-step instructions, $100 bettors turned $5,000 into $18,811 in 2011.
People bet on baseball for a variety of reasons. Some do it just for fun to make watching baseball more exciting. Others bet on baseball to make money. Whether you are a recreational bettor or one who wants to make a lot of money, you can learn to be a savvy bettor and regularly beat the house by using the following baseball betting tips.
If you're completely new to baseball betting, I would suggest reading baseball lines, which explains the most popular types of bets on baseball. In addition, check out Sports Betting Terminology in case you see a word or two that you haven't seen before.
- Avoid betting games in April and be wary of September. The first of 20 baseball betting tips will help to get your betting off on the right foot. In April, not only is weather a factor at certain parks, some managers are still tinkering with their line ups. Spend the first few weeks studying the teams rather than betting them. The baseball season is extremely long and there will be plenty of opportunities for betting baseball.
In September, as teams fall out of the pennant race, it is natural for players to be disappointed, and thus, put out less of an effort. Furthermore, it is a time that teams start looking to the future and bring up some of their top prospects. You just don't know how non-contending teams will play in September.
- Practice sound money management strategies. The second of 20 baseball betting tips just might be the most important one. It is without a doubt the most neglected area for novice bettors. Read the following article to find out the biggest reason why novice bettors fail.
A good friend of mine told me that he has never once criticized a money management system used by another sports bettor. When I asked him why he told me,
“Because a bad money management strategy is still better then not having one at all. The simple truth is that if you don’t have a sound money management strategy, there is not a chance in hell that you’re ever going to make money betting on sports over the long term.”
By looking at the car he drives, this is probably good advice to never forget.
- Take advantage of proven systems for picking baseball winners. Gambling professionals all agree that the third of 20 baseball betting tips is essential for picking winners. Whether you use systems to supplement your present handicapping techniques or as a stand-alone betting method, here are some baseball betting systems to help you make a lot of money.
- Dime Lines. In the sports gambling world, a 'dime line' means a 10 cent money line. It is the difference between the odds for the favourite and the underdog. If your sportsbook does not offer dime lines, you’re needlessly throwing away your money. Do not underestimate the importance of dimelines (fourth of 20 baseball betting tips). Look for the header “Dimes Lines” at How to Select Sportsbooks.
- Know the target audience of Sportsbooks. A critical factor to consider when placing wagers is the type of bettor the sportsbook targets. This answer will affect your bottom line more than you realize. Every sportsbook caters toward a different kind of sports bettor. The goal is to use this knowledge and take advantage of it. Look for the header “Target Audience” at How to Select Sportsbooks.
- Compare Odds. Not all sportsbooks offer the same odds. Books change their numbers according to the betting patterns of their customers, so it is not entirely uncommon to find ten or twenty point differences in the lines. When you are betting your hard earned money, getting the best line is a top priority. To learn more, read MLB Odds & Betting Lines.
- Be Wary of Handicappers. As with any industry there are good and bad handicappers. The handicapping business is full of businesses skilled in marketing but lacking in picking winners. Many offer free picks for the sole purpose of getting your phone number so a high-pressured salesman can hound you on a daily basis.
Moreover, be careful of services offering different levels of picks based on the idea that the more you pay, the more you win. The question you should always ask is why am I not getting the best picks regardless of price? For more, read How to Pick a Handicapper.
- Underdogs often add more value than favourites. Betting underdogs is normally a good idea in any sport, but it is even more important in baseball where even good teams lose 70-plus games each year.
In 2010, $100 bettors that put a wager on every underdog would have lost $1,101.08. However, $100 bettors taking all favourites would have lost $5,046.33 (almost five times more than the dogs). The oddsmakers often inflate the line on the favourites because they know the general public likes to bet the favourites. Add a couple of filters and there is great value betting underdogs. Here is a great Baseball Underdog System.
- Avoid laying odds worst than -150. To break-even with -150 odds you must win 60% of the time. Given that the top teams in the league win about 60% of the time and the bottom teams win about 40% of the time, you are throwing your money away if you are consistently betting on heavy favourites.
- Fade public teams and favourites playing on television. It is normally a good idea to either avoid or fade public teams like the Yankees, Red Sox, Mets and Cubs. These organizations are often heavy favourites and you're less likely to make money on these clubs.
Prior to the 2010 season, these four teams produced only four of a possible 16 profitable seasons over a four year span. If you had bet just $100 on each of their games over that span you would be down over $10,000. Conversely, by playing their opponents, the big dogs, you would have been up even more than that.
In 2010, all four teams had losing seasons once again for money line bettors.
As for TV games, the oddsmakers are well aware of what games are nationally televised and they know that most gamblers prefer to root for the favourite! You can bet that the favourite line and the over line will be inflated. You are much better off sticking to dogs and unders in TV games!
Once you’ve found the right sportsbooks for your needs and you have a decent understanding of Major League Baseball and the history of the game, it’s time to start handicapping games. After all, how can you determine the value a line offers if you can’t accurately model how the game will play out?
First, we are going to go over some of the necessary information to study when you are predicting how a baseball game will play out. These are some of the things everybody looks at, so don’t think knowing this automatically makes you an expert.
However, they are the first, base-level things you need to consider before digging deeper.
The most important position in all of baseball is the starting pitcher. Their performance dictates team success more than any other position. This is why you see such large lines in games on those days that an “ace pitcher” is starting.
- For example:
In 2017, the Dodgers were playing a 3-game series with the Padres. The Dodgers were -200 and -210 in the first two games, respectively.
With Clayton Kershaw on the hill for the third game of the series, the Dodgers ballooned up to -360.
Most casual bettors will focus exclusively on the starting pitchers when deciding which side to bet. They will look at the two starters’ statistics and solely use those numbers to base their decision.
Don’t fall for this all-too-simple strategy alone. It’s a great start, but should just be the start, and not the end-all, be-all statistic to hang your hat on.
There is much more than what meets the eye when it comes to these surface-level statistics. There are many more factors to be aware of that will affect the outcome of a game.
Betting On Baseball Games World Series
Baseball is unique in that the playing surface changes from park to park. Each park has different proportions, meaning different distances from home plate to the various walls. The walls vary in height, depending on which city you are in.
Pete Rose Betting On Baseball
While things like the bases and the foul lines are all uniform, these differing outfields have a significant effect on the how a game will play out.
Some parks are friendlier to hitters, while others benefit pitchers more. Make sure to research the effect that parks have on an offense when you are handicapping your games. Also look into things like whether the park is more advantageous to left-handed or right-handed hitters, then compare those stats to the teams playing there.
Recent Performances
Another surface-level bit of information to research is the last couple weeks of performances for each team. Check to see if they are on a winning streak or if they are slumping. See if they have been giving up lots of runs lately, or if they have been scoring lots of runs themselves.
How does each team’s current trajectory compare to the others? Next, predict how things will play out when these two face each other.
There’s much more to analyze when handicapping a game, but being aware of both parties’ last couple weeks of performances is significant information you will want to have your hands on.
- What does the recent schedule of the two teams playing look like?
- Is one team in the middle of a 9-game home stand?
- Maybe one team played on the west coast last night and has to travel east for an early morning game?
While traveling nowadays is a bit easier and faster, don’t think long plane rides and playing in different time zones shouldn’t be accounted for. This by no means is a statistic to live and die by.
There are plenty of instances when players can travel on little to no sleep and still perform the next day. However, in these circumstances, generally by game two of the series, the lack of rest begins to catch up to the players.
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A team coming off an extra-inning game or a significantly emotional game is certainly a candidate for a lackluster performance the following day.
These are just a few of the key factors to consider the next time you are scouring the online sites looking for a bet to make. The formula for becoming a successful baseball bettor all starts with understanding the key influences that affect how a game is played.
Now that you have a good grasp on what to be focusing on, let’s examine some bets you can make that will help you get to profitability.
Paying attention to the umpires, specifically who is calling strikes and balls behind home plate, can give you a betting edge over other bettors. There are certain umpires that are known to have “tighter strike zones” than others.
Betting On Baseball Tips
On the flip side, some umpires call strikes much more generously.
Think about it. If an ace pitcher is on the mound and the umpire is calling a loose game, batters are going to struggle. The best pitchers in the game are talented enough. Once you start giving them a larger strike zone, the hitters are at a significant disadvantage.
This combination of an ace pitcher and an umpire who calls a loose zone is a prime contender to bet the UNDER.
On the flip side, let’s say we have an unknown pitcher who was just called up and is making his major league debut. Say he is paired with an umpire who is calling a smaller strike zone. Here we have a pitcher likely to allow baserunners and give up runs.
We also have an umpire who has a history of calling fewer strikes, meaning more batters reach base.
This a perfect storm to anticipate a lot of runs being scored, hence betting the OVER. Don’t get too caught up with which umpire is behind home plate, but don’t be afraid to do some research and find out who is in charge of calling balls and strikes.
You may be surprised at how much this tip helps you attack the over and under bets.